Big Bright Regions Beckon Amid a Big Aurora Show | Solar Storm Forecast 11.22.2021

Activity remains a bit subdued this week with only pockets of fast solar wind that have brought sporadic aurora to high latitudes, nothing like the show we saw a couple of weeks ago. Aurora photographers at high latitudes could get some decent views through the early part of the week, but aurora chasers at mid-latitudes will need likely need to watch from the sidelines this time. Amateur radio operators must also wait as we are experiencing a lull in solar flux, which has dipped back into the high 70s over this past week. Luckily, these conditions will change soon as a returning bright region (old M-flare player, region 2891) rotates into view again in about three to four days. This region, along with a few others will begin boosting solar flux back into the mid-80s over the course of this week, possibly higher. This means radio propagation on Earth’s dayside will begin improving to the higher side of marginal by the end of the week. As for GPS users, the lack in activity and the dip in solar flux actually serves to aid GPS reception, so enjoy the good conditions all over the globe this week. Learn the details of the fast solar wind, see the hint of new regions that will rotate into view within a week’s time, and catch up on spectacular aurora highlights from the recent G3-level solar storm! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

A Goodbye Kiss from A Big Flare Player | Space Weather News 11.11.2021

This week we say “goodbye” to region 2891, the last of the Big Flare Players that caused the fireworks we saw last week, and “hello” to some peace and quiet. Although region 2895 is showing a little bit of activity, it is not yet filling the footsteps of it’s predecessors. However, we are watching it for signs of growth. Meanwhile, just as region 2891 begins to rotate out of view, it fires off a goodbye kiss with an M2-class flare and a solar storm. Luckily, the solar storm is not Earth-directed. However, this region may retain it’s strong flare potential as it transits the Sun’s farside. If it survives it’s farside passage we could be in for big flares again in about two weeks time so amateur radio operators and GPS should enjoy the peace and quiet while it lasts. Aurora photographers at high latitudes get a slight chance for aurora this week with a small pocket of fast solar wind, but those at mid-latitudes will likely need to wait by the sidelines for some stronger fast solar wind, which will come in about 10 days from a better formed coronal hole that is just beginning to rotate into Earth view. See region 2891 fire off it’s “goodbye kiss,” learn how far aurora dipped down into mid-latitudes during the recent solar storm, and see what else our Sun has in store! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Our Sun is About to Get Busy | Solar Storm Forecast 10.25.2021

This week our Sun is getting primed for some real activity! Although space weather has been quiet this week, multiple new regions are rotating into Earth-view (at least four) and several of them are solar storm producers. We also have one region that has the potential to become a real M-flare player. GPS users should be enjoying good reception right now, but that could change later in this week and into the next. Solar flux is also increasing rapidly, moving up through the high 70s last week into the high 80s, and possibly ramping up into the high 90s by mid-week. We could even see triple digits again by the end of the week! This means we are moving into the good range for radio propagation on Earth’s dayside. Likely these conditions will last over the next two weeks! As for aurora possibilities, we will need to wait for a few more days before any of these regions rotate into the Earth-strike zone, so aurora photographers will have only a small pocket of fast solar wind to give a slim chance of aurora views right around mid-week, but those chances are pretty much reserved for high-latitude chasers. Learn details of the new active regions rotating into Earth view and how they might affect you, catch up on aurora pics from the recent G2-level solar storm, and see what else our Sun has in store!  Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Direct Hit from an Incoming Solar Storm | Space Weather News 10.11.2021

A lot of exciting things are happening this week. We have a solar storm on its way to Earth now! It should hit later today and bring with it a good chance for aurora at mid-latitudes. It all started with region 2882 firing an M1.6-flare back on October 9, during which it launched a gorgeous full-halo eruption. This solar storm has been driving a shockwave and a weak solar radiation storm that may impact amateur radio propagation and GPS reception over the next few days. It will slowly subside once the solar storm hits Earth. Until then, expect high-latitude communications and GPS reception to be slightly impacted. In addition, we also have a small coronal hole that is rotating into the Earth-strike zone and should give us some fast solar wind as a chaser to this solar storm. This means we may have some level of disturbance throughout much of this week. Solar flux continues to be in the mid-80s which means amateur radio propagation will remain marginal on the Earth’s dayside, except when the solar storm hits. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch the big-flare player region 2882 work its magic, and see what else our Sun has in store!

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An X-Flare Player Grows & A Solar Storm Heads for Earth | Solar Storm Forecast 09.30.2021

This week our star ups the stakes with several new big-flare players, including a fast growing region (2880) that looks to be an X-flare player as well. NOAA is giving the region about a 5% change of firing off an X-class flare over the next few days. We will see if that risk rises as we follow its explosive growth over this next week. The nice thing is this new activity has bumped the solar flux back up into the triple digits again (I told you it was coming)! Sure enough, we are sitting at 100 right now and could see 115 by the end of the week. This means amateur radio on Earth’s dayside is back into the good range so enjoy. In addition we have an Earth-directed solar storm on it’s way to Earth. “The Big Three” agencies (namely NOAA, NASA, and the MetOffice) disagree slightly on when and how the solar storm will hit, but it should be sometime between late September 30 and mid-day October 1. As such, aurora photographers should stay vigilant as we could get aurora, even down to mid-latitudes! Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch the new X-flare player grow over the past few days, catch up on aurora photos from recent solar storms, and see what else our Sun has in store! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Bright Regions Emerge Too Fast To Count | Space Weather News 09.22.2021

This week our Sun raises the bar with no less than six sunspots emerging in Earth view. These regions have been growing so fast that not all of them have been numbered yet (at the time of the forecast shoot). This means solar flux has shot up tremendously over the past few days and will continue climbing easily over this next week. We are rapidly moving through the 80s right now and could see triple digits again by next week. Amateur radio operators should notice much improved radio propagation on Earth’s dayside in the coming days. In addition, we are also seeing an increase in big flare risk, which will also likely increase in the coming days. The main player is region 2871, but other regions may join the fray over the next few days. On top of this, we also have a coronal hole rotating into the Earth-strike zone, which will bring us some fast solar wind and the chance for aurora as we near the weekend. Aurora photographers at high and mid-latitudes should stay alert and keep their camera batteries charged this week as we also have an increased chance of Earth-directed solar storms with so many active regions now in play. Learn the details of the emerging new regions, find out when and where aurora might be visible, and see what else our Sun has in store this week!

Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Big Flare Players and Side-Swiping Storms | Solar Storm Forecast 09.12.2021

This week our Sun keeps us on pins and needles as four new active regions rotate through Earth-view. Not only are two of these regions big flare players (we have a 5% chance for X-flares), but several solar storms have been launched over the past couple days that are either grazing Earth now (or soon will be). In addition we have an unstable filament rotating through the Earth-strike zone now and it is poised to erupt. If it does over the next few days, it will likely be Earth-directed. Aurora photographers should stay comfortably alert for the remainder of this week as we might have some sporadic aurora. This is also good news for amateur radio operators, as solar flux peaked over 100 for a few days this week. Although it is back down into the low 90s as of right now, every time we cross into triple digits, it is a good sign that cycle 25 is continuing to rise! However, with this rising activity comes the potential for radio blackouts, and this week is no exception. Regions 2866 and 2868 are both big-flare players and so both radio operators and GPS users could see issues with signal reception over the next few days, especially on Earth’s dayside and near dawn and dusk. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, watch how regions 2866 and 2868 are developing, and see what else our Sun has in store this week!

Bunch of New Bright Regions & An Earth-Directed Solar Storm | Space Weather News 09.05.2021

This week our Sun turns up the brightness with no less than four new active regions emerging in Earth-view. All of these regions are growing rapidly, in fact, one of them, region 2864 has launched an earth-directed solar storm. This storm is wispy and likely wont cause too big of a disturbance, but early predictions indicate impact at Earth late on September 9. As such, aurora views should be visible at high-latitudes, but at mid-latitudes, as things stand now, there is only a slim chance. Amateur radio operators and emergency responders should be smiling as these bright regions are also boosting the solar flux into the high 80s. If they continue to grow at this pace we could see solar flux into the 90s within this week, which means radio propagation on Earth’s dayside continues inch ever closer to the “good” range. Although they are growing rapidly, these sunspot regions are not currently a risk for big flares, but they are firing C-class flares. Thus GPS users should remain vigilant near dawn and dusk as GPS reception could be less reliable for a few hours straddling both sunrise and sunset. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch the fast rise of the numerous sunspot clusters, and see what else our Sun has in store this week!

Bright Regions Enter & Big Filament Launch in the Earth-Strike Zone | Space Weather News 08.23.2021

All eyes are on the Sun this week as there are so many changes afoot. First, that massive filament we have been watching rotating through the Earth-strike zone has erupted! Early indications are that it has launched at least a partially-Earth-directed solar storm (we are already seeing an eruption signature in coronagraphs) so we might have a storm heading our way. (I will be sure to update my community on Patreon with the details). In addition to this filament, we have multiple new bright regions rotating into Earth view that are not only boosting solar flux, but are also solar storm producers, and possibly even big flare players! Learn the details of the massive filament in the strike zone, watch the new regions rotate into view, and find out how these will affect both GPS reception and amateur radio this week.

Many Sunspots Emerge & A Big Filament Snakes | Solar Storm Forecast 08.15.2021

Our Sun stays a bit on the quiet side this week, but it is definitely giving us some fun stuff to watch. We went from a spotless Sun to one with four sunspots in a matter of days! Although these new regions are quiet and likely wont give us any chance for big solar flares, we are nevertheless keeping our eyes on them as it is unusual to see so many sunspots emerge all at once. As for solar storms, our Sun is still firing a few, but none of them are Earth-directed. We also aren’t expecting any fast solar wind this week, so aurora photographers will likely need to focus on the ongoing Perseid meteor shower this week instead of aurora. Although the quiet conditions this week means radio propagation remains in the marginal range on Earth’s dayside, at least GPS/GNSS users can expect some decent signal reception pretty much all over the globe. Learn the details of the emerging sunspots, see the long snake-like filament that is rotating into view, catch up on aurora photos from recent solar storming, and see what else our Sun has in store this week.