A Big Flare, A Radiation Storm & Double Fast Wind Streams | Space Weather News 01.24.2022

This past week our Sun has been sending us a cornucopia of space weather phenomena, including launching several solar storms in near-Earth vicinity, firing a big solar flare, and showering us with a radiation storm! Luckily, all of their effects at Earth have been either minor, short-lived, or have missed entirely. Back on the 20th, an M5.5-flare launched a radiation storm that reached the S1-level. It did cause some issues for radio propagation and navigation at high latitudes for about a day before it began to wane. However, we will still deal with its lingering effects in the near-Earth satellite environment over the next day or so. In addition, we have two, back-to-back fast solar wind streams that will hit Earth over this coming week. These could give us some decent aurora chances at high latitudes and possibly some aurora down to mid-latitudes in bursts. GPS users and amateur radio operators should expect minor disruptions on Earth’s night side. Solar flux remains in the high 80s to low 90s, which means marginal radio propagation on Earth’s dayside, but with new regions rotating into Earth view over the next few days, it looks like conditions could improve soon. Learn the details of the recent solar events, including what remains of the waning radiation storm, find out how the two fast solar wind streams will affect us in the coming days, and see what else our Sun has in store this week! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Fast Wind Storming with More to the East & West | Solar Storm Forecast 01.17.2022

The Sun has Earth in its’ crosshairs this week! We’ve had no less than three solar storms to contend with all in the past few days. The first solar storm was launched by region 2925 back on January 14 and was supposed to hit yesterday, but it missed Earth, thanks to the fast solar wind from the large coronal hole passing through the Earth-strike zone now. Likely that fast wind stream deflected the solar storm to the west of Earth. But no matter, the fast wind has been sporadically bumping us to storm levels off and on over the past couple days. We even reached G2-level conditions for about three hours right around the 15th, but don’t be fooled, as these conditions were more bark than bite. Even aurora chasers had a difficult time catching much more than a glimpse of aurora at mid-latitudes. Still this storm will keep us on our toes over the next couple days, plus we have yet another solar storm on the way. This one was launched by region 2929 in the north. This new solar storm has a better chance of hitting Earth than the previous one did, but it still could be a glancing blow around the 20th. In addition, we have no less than seven active regions on the Earth-facing Sun, which is keeping solar flux boosted into the triple digits and allowing decent radio propagation on Earth’s dayside. Big flares and radio blackouts are a slight risk now, but it is not too bad for GPS reception overall. Learn the details surrounding all of this activity and see what else our Sun has in store. Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Solar Bright Regions Bloom & Dust Storms Build on Mars | Space Weather News 01.10.2022

This week our Sun brightens our day with some fast solar wind and new eye candy! No less than four new bright regions are now in Earth-view and solar flux is back in the triple digits! This means radio propagation on Earth’s dayside is back into the good range. These conditions should continue over this week and quite possibly into next week! Also, with the fast solar wind, we have had some decent aurora shows at high latitudes and even down briefly into mid latitudes. Although we have hit storm levels over the past 24 hours, we will likely bounce between unsettled and active conditions over the next several days. Aurora is still possible at high latitudes, but views will become more fleeting at mid-latitudes. However, with these new active regions rotating into Earth-view there is a very good chance we will have some Earth-directed solar storms launch over the next couple of week. So, aurora photographers that miss this brief fast wind, keep your fingers crossed because there is a significant chance for more aurora soon. Learn the details of these new bright regions, visit the dust storms building on Mars and see what else our Sun has in store! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Big Flare Players Popping & An Earth-Directed Launch | Solar Storm Forecast 12.20.2021

Our Sun is popping some big flare potential this week, with no less than seven numbered regions on the Earth-facing disk (up that to nine, as of this afternoon!) Plus more are rotating into Earth view as we speak. This is translating into great radio propagation on Earth’s dayside with solar flux back in the triple digits again! Of course with lots of active regions comes radio blackouts, which we are already noticing with one M-class flare earlier today! M-class flare risk tops 20% over the next few days and could very well increase. We even have a small risk for X-class flares as well, mainly from regions 2907 and 2908 so we are keeping a close eye on how things develop. In addition, we also have some solar storms brewing, the first is the fast solar wind hitting Earth now, which has bumped us to storm levels once, and could do so again over the next few days. The next is due to an Earth-directed solar storm that was launched with the M-class flare today. Preliminary analysis indicates this solar storm could hit Earth by December 24! So, while aurora puts on a show at high latitudes now, by the 24th, we could have a decent show down to mid-latitudes as well! Learn the details of all this budding activity, including the fast solar wind, the coming solar storm, and the big flare players, find out when and where aurora might be visible, and see what else our Sun has in store!

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Fast Solar Wind Bookends an Earth-Directed Graze | Space Weather News 12.01.2021

This week we have a partly Earth-directed solar storm sandwiched between two pockets of fast solar wind! The storm on its way will graze us to the south by December 3rd. NASA and NOAA prediction models disagree as to exactly when, but we can expect impact to be sometime between mid-day on December 2 and late December 3. This wide window doesn’t really matter all that much considering this solar storm is already preceded by some minor storming due to the first pocket of fast wind that is hitting now and will be followed by more! This means storming could occur from now until week’s end, especially at high latitudes. We have already jumped to solar storm levels and seen some gorgeous aurora at high latitudes over the past 24 hours and could do so again. As for mid-latitudes, the chances for aurora over the next few days may be sporadic, but conditions will look more favorable as the solar storm arrives. In addition to this activity at Earth, we have had some new active regions emerge on the Sun, which is good news for amateur radio operators. We even have a small chance for an M-class flare, although the possibility is still pretty remote. We will be monitoring the growth of these regions over the next few days in case they turn out to be substantial, but for now, solar flux is hovering near the low 90s. This means marginal to good radio propagation on Earth’s dayside. As for GPS reception, there may be issues near dawn and dusk and near aurora over the course of this week, so stay vigilant if you drive, fly safe if you are a UAV pilot, and calibrate your magnetometers often! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Big Bright Regions Beckon Amid a Big Aurora Show | Solar Storm Forecast 11.22.2021

Activity remains a bit subdued this week with only pockets of fast solar wind that have brought sporadic aurora to high latitudes, nothing like the show we saw a couple of weeks ago. Aurora photographers at high latitudes could get some decent views through the early part of the week, but aurora chasers at mid-latitudes will need likely need to watch from the sidelines this time. Amateur radio operators must also wait as we are experiencing a lull in solar flux, which has dipped back into the high 70s over this past week. Luckily, these conditions will change soon as a returning bright region (old M-flare player, region 2891) rotates into view again in about three to four days. This region, along with a few others will begin boosting solar flux back into the mid-80s over the course of this week, possibly higher. This means radio propagation on Earth’s dayside will begin improving to the higher side of marginal by the end of the week. As for GPS users, the lack in activity and the dip in solar flux actually serves to aid GPS reception, so enjoy the good conditions all over the globe this week. Learn the details of the fast solar wind, see the hint of new regions that will rotate into view within a week’s time, and catch up on spectacular aurora highlights from the recent G3-level solar storm! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

A Goodbye Kiss from A Big Flare Player | Space Weather News 11.11.2021

This week we say “goodbye” to region 2891, the last of the Big Flare Players that caused the fireworks we saw last week, and “hello” to some peace and quiet. Although region 2895 is showing a little bit of activity, it is not yet filling the footsteps of it’s predecessors. However, we are watching it for signs of growth. Meanwhile, just as region 2891 begins to rotate out of view, it fires off a goodbye kiss with an M2-class flare and a solar storm. Luckily, the solar storm is not Earth-directed. However, this region may retain it’s strong flare potential as it transits the Sun’s farside. If it survives it’s farside passage we could be in for big flares again in about two weeks time so amateur radio operators and GPS should enjoy the peace and quiet while it lasts. Aurora photographers at high latitudes get a slight chance for aurora this week with a small pocket of fast solar wind, but those at mid-latitudes will likely need to wait by the sidelines for some stronger fast solar wind, which will come in about 10 days from a better formed coronal hole that is just beginning to rotate into Earth view. See region 2891 fire off it’s “goodbye kiss,” learn how far aurora dipped down into mid-latitudes during the recent solar storm, and see what else our Sun has in store! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Our Sun is About to Get Busy | Solar Storm Forecast 10.25.2021

This week our Sun is getting primed for some real activity! Although space weather has been quiet this week, multiple new regions are rotating into Earth-view (at least four) and several of them are solar storm producers. We also have one region that has the potential to become a real M-flare player. GPS users should be enjoying good reception right now, but that could change later in this week and into the next. Solar flux is also increasing rapidly, moving up through the high 70s last week into the high 80s, and possibly ramping up into the high 90s by mid-week. We could even see triple digits again by the end of the week! This means we are moving into the good range for radio propagation on Earth’s dayside. Likely these conditions will last over the next two weeks! As for aurora possibilities, we will need to wait for a few more days before any of these regions rotate into the Earth-strike zone, so aurora photographers will have only a small pocket of fast solar wind to give a slim chance of aurora views right around mid-week, but those chances are pretty much reserved for high-latitude chasers. Learn details of the new active regions rotating into Earth view and how they might affect you, catch up on aurora pics from the recent G2-level solar storm, and see what else our Sun has in store!  Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Direct Hit from an Incoming Solar Storm | Space Weather News 10.11.2021

A lot of exciting things are happening this week. We have a solar storm on its way to Earth now! It should hit later today and bring with it a good chance for aurora at mid-latitudes. It all started with region 2882 firing an M1.6-flare back on October 9, during which it launched a gorgeous full-halo eruption. This solar storm has been driving a shockwave and a weak solar radiation storm that may impact amateur radio propagation and GPS reception over the next few days. It will slowly subside once the solar storm hits Earth. Until then, expect high-latitude communications and GPS reception to be slightly impacted. In addition, we also have a small coronal hole that is rotating into the Earth-strike zone and should give us some fast solar wind as a chaser to this solar storm. This means we may have some level of disturbance throughout much of this week. Solar flux continues to be in the mid-80s which means amateur radio propagation will remain marginal on the Earth’s dayside, except when the solar storm hits. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch the big-flare player region 2882 work its magic, and see what else our Sun has in store!

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An X-Flare Player Grows & A Solar Storm Heads for Earth | Solar Storm Forecast 09.30.2021

This week our star ups the stakes with several new big-flare players, including a fast growing region (2880) that looks to be an X-flare player as well. NOAA is giving the region about a 5% change of firing off an X-class flare over the next few days. We will see if that risk rises as we follow its explosive growth over this next week. The nice thing is this new activity has bumped the solar flux back up into the triple digits again (I told you it was coming)! Sure enough, we are sitting at 100 right now and could see 115 by the end of the week. This means amateur radio on Earth’s dayside is back into the good range so enjoy. In addition we have an Earth-directed solar storm on it’s way to Earth. “The Big Three” agencies (namely NOAA, NASA, and the MetOffice) disagree slightly on when and how the solar storm will hit, but it should be sometime between late September 30 and mid-day October 1. As such, aurora photographers should stay vigilant as we could get aurora, even down to mid-latitudes! Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch the new X-flare player grow over the past few days, catch up on aurora photos from recent solar storms, and see what else our Sun has in store! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman