Goodbye Big Flares, Hello Green Comet | Space Weather News: 26 January 2023

This week our Sun quiets down as the remaining two big flare players rotate to the Sun’s farside. We are still dealing with a bit of fast solar wind from a coronal hole that is rotating through the Earth-strike zone, but it is underperforming thus far. Aurora photographers at high latitudes can get a show through the weekend, but those at mid-latitudes will likely need to wait for another week or so for a better chance. At least amateur radio operators and GPS users will appreciate the quiet as it means less noise on the radio bands and better reception of GPS signals over the coming week. Pilots and aviators alike will also relish the low risk for radiation storms, which means clear skies even for polar routes. Learn the details of this week’s space weather and see what else our Sun has in store.

An Earth-Directed Solar Storm Launch & Solar Flux Tops a Record | Solar Storm Forecast 01.17.2023

This week our Star continues firing on all cylinders as over half of the nine active regions in Earth-view are either big-flare players or solar storm producers. the short-duration flares we enjoyed last week have given way to longer-duration flares that accompany solar storm launches. As such we now have one partly-Earth-directed solar storm that will graze Earth sometime around the 19th. Slow traffic in the solar wind ahead will likely cause a pileup before the storm arrives so effects at earth could begin as early as January 18. Aurora photographers at high-latitudes should get a sustained show that could last through the 20th. Aurora is also possible to mid-latitudes, but more sporadically. Amateur radio operators should rejoice this week as solar flux has now topped a new record, crossing over the 200-mark for the first time since Solar Cycle 25 began. Propagation will be excellent, despite the noise but long-duration R1 to R2-level radio blackouts will still be common on Earth’s dayside. GPS users at low latitudes should also be aware that as solar flux continues to increase, reception issues will worsen in the afternoon and early evening. Since issues are cumulative, GPS reception can be especially problematic near dawn and dusk when solar flares are also occurring. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch how radio blackouts from the big-flare players impact our communications, and find out what else our Sun has in store. Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Fast Solar Wind Blows in the New Year | Space Weather News 12.29.2022

This week the weather from our star remains at moderate levels. Impacts early this week have been mainly due to fast solar wind from some small coronal holes that are now rotating to the Sun’s farside. However, another larger coronal hole will send us some more fast solar wind over the next few days. Couple that with a side-swiping mini-solar storm today and aurora photographers at high latitudes could get a good show in through the new year. Aurora photographers at mid-latitudes might also get a chance for some sporadic shows, but they will be more fleeting. We also have several large active regions that are sporting big solar flares. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should expect radio blackouts on Earth’s dayside, easily over the rest of this week. Learn the details of the fast solar wind, find out when and where aurora is expected, and see what else our Sun has in store!

Big Flares Calm Down While Fast Wind Ramps Up | Space Weather News 12.22.2022

Our Sun calms down just a little bit this week. We had over 20 radio blackouts on Earth’s dayside from December 14 though December 17 due to several troublemakers, namely Regions 3156 and 3163, and 3165, but the last of the bunch (region 3163) is now rotating to the Sun’s farside. This is good news because this leaves Region 3169 as the only remaining threat for big flares, and it has calmed down substantially since rotating into Earth view. Although radio blackouts are still possible, both GPS users and amateur radio operators on Earth’s dayside can breathe a sigh of relief through the holidays. Aurora photographers are also greeted with good news this week as we have some fast solar wind from an extended set of coronal holes hitting Earth through the weekend. Aurora photographers at high latitudes should expect some decent shows while chances at mid-latitudes will be more sporadic. However, the New Moon on the 23rd, which will be coincident with the peak of the Ursid meteor shower, could really enhance even a weak appearance of aurora. It all conspires to be a perfect holiday night sky, just in time to catch a glimpse of Santa Claus and his reindeer.

A Dark Region Lurks on the Farside as Two Filaments Erupt | Solar Storm Forecast 12.13.2022

This week our Sun’s bark is worse than its bite with multiple filaments launching partly towards Earth, but only light impacts are expected. Aurora photographers at high latitudes may be the only ones to catch a show this week. Despite this lackluster performance, we have at least nine numbered regions in Earth-view, which ensures the solar flux will remain in the mid-100s, so amateur radio operators should enjoy great radio propagation on Earth’s dayside. GPS users should also enjoy decent GPS reception this week as the risk for big flares and radio blackouts remains pretty low. Learn the details of the multiple filament launches, catch up on aurora highlights from recent solar storms, and check out the dark region lurking on the Sun’s farside this week! Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

A Dark Coronal Hole & New Bright Regions | Space Weather News 11.17.2022

Our Sun switches gears this week as the set of active regions that gave us some big flares and radio blackouts last week rotates to the Sun’s farside and a dark coronal hole begins to rotate into the Earth-strike zone. This means radio communications on Earth’s dayside will improve, and aurora possibilities on Earth’s nightside increase. Fast solar wind is expected to hit Earth starting around the 19th and could bring aurora down into mid-latitudes for a short while. Aurora photographers at high latitudes have a better chance as a glancing passage for a solar storm could enhance conditions starting even earlier, possibly by late on the 17th. GPS users should stay vigilant around dawn and dusk and anywhere near aurora over the next few days as it could impact signal reception. Lean the details of the coming fast solar wind and the glancing solar storm blow (the specific NASA solar storm model run I reference can be found here: https://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20221114_102400_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif ), find out where aurora may be visible, and see why amateur radio operators smile while GPS users stay cautiously optimistic this week. Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Hurricane Ian First Responders Suffer with Strong Solar Storming | Space Weather News 10.01.2022

With Hurricane Ian impacting Florida this week, we really needed the Sun to stay quiet, but no such luck. We have some incoming fast solar wind along with a grazing passage of a solar storm that together could bump us up to G2-levels (possibly G3-levels/Kp7 at high latitudes) over the next few days. This means amateur radio operators should expect communication disruptions on Earth’s nightside over this next week. Along with radio blackouts on Earth’s dayside due to several big-flare players, this week could be challenging for the Hurricane Watch Nets. On the bright side, aurora photographers should enjoy some beautiful aurora shows deep into mid-latitudes clear through October 3. Learn the details of the coming fast solar wind and glancing solar storm blow, discover why this could give us some strong storming possibilities, and see what else our Sun has in store this week. Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

A Big-Flare Players Come and Go as Fast Wind Enters | Solar Storm Forecast 09.16.2022

This week we say goodbye to big flare player region 3098 and hello to region 3102 as we wait for even bigger flare player, old region 3089 to rotate back into Earth-view. This means we are getting a slight reprieve when it comes to radio blackouts from big flares on Earth’s dayside. Amateur radio operators and GPS users should breathe a sigh of relief as dayside disruptions should be significantly reduced this week. Radio noise remains an issue but propagation should remain in the good range. We do have a coronal hole rotating into the Earth-strike zone, which will bring us some fast solar wind through the weekend, but it will be comparatively mild compared to what we experienced at the beginning of September. Aurora photographers at high latitudes have a decent chance of aurora shows, but photographers at mid-latitudes will only have sporadic shows through the weekend. Learn more about the new flare players rotating into view, find out when and where aurora might be visible, and see why satellite operators must remain vigilant this week. Want early access to these forecasts, tutorials on Space Weather, & more? Visit: https://patreon.com/SpaceweatherWoman

Fast Wind Comes Before Flares Return | Space Weather News 09.02.2022

This week our Sun is trading big flare-players for a nice chance for aurora. We say goodbye to region 3088 as it rotates off the Sun’s west limb and to the farside. Guaranteed we will keep a close watch on it to see whether it survives the next two weeks and will return. Meanwhile we have a large coronal hole that will be sending us some fast solar wind starting around September 4th. Last month this coronal hole bumped us to G2-level storm conditions and there is a good chance it will do the same this time as well. Aurora photographers should get ready for a decent show, even down to mid-latitudes as we could see some sustained views ramping up late September 3, peaking on September 4 through 5, and then ramping down through September 6 and 7. Overall, this could make up for some of the solar storm fizzles we have seen from the big flare players (who obviously have very bad aim). Amateur radio operators and GPS users may get a bit of a reprieve on Earth’s dayside from radio blackouts this week, but once the solar storm hits, expect signal disruptions on Earth’s nightside, especially anywhere near aurora. Learn the details of the coming solar storm, watch region 3088 rotate out of view with a bang, & see why the radio-quiet conditions will not last for long, with new regions about to rotate into view.

Twin Flare Players & Two Earth-Directed Storms | Solar Storm Forecast 08.28.2022

Our Sun lights up this week with two big flare players that have the X-factor. Regions 3088 and 3089 have been firing big solar flares over the past few days causing R1-R2 level radio blackouts on Earth’s dayside. In addition, region 3088 has been launching partly Earth-directed solar storms. These storms are expected to graze Earth to the west in back-to-back fashion, late on August 28. However, we are feeling the effect of earlier mini-solar storms now, in fact we bumped up to active conditions once already and could even get sporadic aurora shows that intensify up to when the larger storms hit. Aurora photographers could get a show clear down to mid-latitudes around August 29. Amateur radio operators should expect noise on the bands and radio blackouts on Earth’s dayside and GPS users should stay vigilant for reception issues near dawn and dusk and anywhere near aurora over the next few days at least. Learn the details of the coming solar storms, when and where to see aurora, see why the big-flare players are making life difficult for amateur radio and GPS users, and find out what else our Sun has in store this week.